Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.073711 0.085747 0.099040 0.114801 0.132966 0.153234 0.177556
2024-10-27 0.053473 0.068889 0.087624 0.112019 0.142896 0.180632 0.230206
2024-11-03 0.043295 0.060513 0.083087 0.114741 0.157869 0.214453 0.294201
2024-11-10 0.037241 0.055713 0.081510 0.119972 0.175650 0.253076 0.368638
2024-11-17 0.032105 0.050975 0.078819 0.122611 0.189418 0.287095 0.440246
2024-11-24 0.027645 0.046317 0.075271 0.123040 0.199413 0.316174 0.507433
2024-12-01 0.023918 0.042104 0.071616 0.122488 0.207375 0.342523 0.572850
2024-12-08 0.020722 0.038202 0.067800 0.120940 0.213196 0.365685 0.635232
2024-12-15 0.018984 0.036512 0.067368 0.124867 0.228356 0.405329 0.728678
2024-12-22 0.017425 0.034887 0.066775 0.128317 0.242907 0.445212 0.826465
2024-12-29 0.016189 0.033668 0.066710 0.132623 0.259323 0.489792 0.936877
2025-01-05 0.015046 0.032450 0.066459 0.136473 0.275200 0.534810 1.052435
2025-01-12 0.013134 0.029430 0.062405 0.132568 0.276069 0.552679 1.120188
2025-01-19 0.011504 0.026764 0.058709 0.128909 0.276983 0.570730 1.190318
2025-01-26 0.010686 0.025741 0.058264 0.131895 0.291684 0.617156 1.321325
2025-02-02 0.010194 0.025376 0.059166 0.137840 0.313200 0.679355 1.490634
2025-02-09 0.009517 0.024476 0.058765 0.140846 0.328690 0.730600 1.642190
2025-02-16 0.008733 0.023198 0.057337 0.141332 0.338625 0.771021 1.774590
2025-02-23 0.007962 0.021837 0.055533 0.140701 0.345911 0.806347 1.899268
2025-03-02 0.007209 0.020405 0.053372 0.138931 0.350309 0.835636 2.013249
2025-03-09 0.006873 0.020025 0.053747 0.143419 0.370091 0.901597 2.217391
2025-03-16 0.006532 0.019581 0.053902 0.147363 0.388960 0.967211 2.426985
2025-03-23 0.006261 0.019292 0.054416 0.152283 0.410774 1.041773 2.664843